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Wednesday, January 12, 2011

Oscar Predictions 2011 - Who Will Get the Nod?

The Oscars are just around the corner, and it's time to get those brackets filled out. Okay, the Academy Awards haven't advanced to the level of bracketology, but they should.

Regardless, GotchaMovies has it's own bracket to fill out, and it's time to do it.


Here is a look at who we at GotchaMovies think will fill the spots for nominees at the 2011 Oscars. Comment, let us know if we are totally off-base, or show support for your favortie movie of the year.


These are all predictions. Come back to GotchaMovies when the nominees are announced!




Best Picture


The Social Network ~ Winner
The King's Speech
127 Hours
Toy Story 3
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
True Grit
Black Swan
The Fighter
Winter's Bone


This is really a two horse race. The Social Network and The King's Speech are total locks, and one of the two will likely take home the prize. We could see a few indie-darlings make it with The Kids Are All Right and Winter's Bone (stil on the outside looking in). Winter's Bone has received a lot of awards already, and it seems to be slipping it's way off the bubble and into the nominations. The Fighter, Black Swan, and True Grit should make the field, while the two fan favorites of the summer, Inception and Toy Story 3 should definitely get a nomination as well.


Best Actor


Jesse Eisenberg (The Social Network)
Colin Firth (The King's Speech) ~ Winner
James Franco (127 Hours)
Mark Wahlberg (The Fighter)
Ryan Gosling (Blue Valentine)


The Best Actress award has to go to Natlie Portman. The perfect storm is really on the horizon for her. It's the perfect time in her career, she's had a lot of well received roles but not a lot of awards, and she's getting married and pregnant. It's going to happy it seems.


The real surprises will be in the nominees. Will Julianne Moore get the nod along with Annette Bening for The Kids Are All Right? Will Diane Lane pull a Sandra Bullock and get in? Maybe Nicole Kidman returns to grace with her Rabbit Hole performance? Well, I don't think any of those will happen, and Michelle Williams gets the nod (making Blue Valentine 2/2 on it's leading actors).


Best Director


David FIncher (The Social Network) ~ Winner
Tom Hooper (The King's Speech)
Christopher Nolan (Inception)
Darren Aronofsky (Black Swan)
Danny Boyle (127 Hours)


The only real surprise would be seeing The Coen Brothers get a nod for True Grit. It could happen, but it'd be hard to topple Darren Aronofsky for Black Swan, or Christopher Nolan for Inception. It's obvious the Oscars don't fall Nolan's way though, so don't put it past them to fully screw it up. Fincher could only be upstaged by Tom Hooper this year. Fincher should take this one.



Best Animated Picture


Toy Story 3 ~ Winner
How to Train Your Dragon
Despicable Me
The Illusionist


There is a distinct possibility that five movies will be nominated in this category, but it's not really necessary. Toy Story 3 is a sure-fire lock for this one, barring something truly from left field. Despicable Me deserves the nod, and How to Train Your Dragon sure has it's followers, including GotchaMovies' own Matt Wehner, who had it tops in his Best Movies of 2010 list. It's a long shot to beat out the juggernaut that is Toy Story 3 though.


Best Actress in a Supporting Role


Hailee Stanfield (True Grit) ~ Winner
Melissa Leo (The Fighter)
Dianne Wiest (Rabbit Hole)
Helena Bonham Carter (The King's Speech)

It's a weak year for Best Supporting Actress. In fact, I only listed four possible nominees because I have no idea who will fill that fifth spot. It seems fairly certain that these four will get it, but there's no denying that Hailee Stanfield may have the in, simply because of her age. I'd watch out for Dianne Wiest, the verteran of the group, to perhaps steal this one. Helena Bonham Carter could complete a King's Speech sweep, and she's been on the good side of movies over the last five years.


Best Actor in a Supporting Role


Christian Bale (The Fighter) ~ Winner
Jeremy Renner (The Town)
Geoffrey Rush (The King's Speech)
Mark Ruffalo (The Kids Are All Right)
Andrew Garfield (The Social Network)


It's Christian Bale's to lose really. He's going to get it. Geoffrey Rush will grab a nod off of The King's Speech momentum, and Jeremy Renner should get some attention for The Town, but it's all a toss up after that. If True Grit plays well, Matt Damon could get the nod. You could see Mark Ruffalo get a nod for The Kids Are All Right (my prediction is he will). The Social Network could see Justin Timberlake get a nod, but it won't happen. Andrew Garfield should get a mention, but he deserves it for two movies. He'll get it for The Social Network, because the academy is just in love with it. You can feel it. Honorable mentions to Aaaron Eckhart and Bill Murray this year, but they are longshots.


 

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